Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, January 14, 2020 at 12:00 PM
IT'S LSU 42, CLEMSON 25 - ANATOMY OF A CHAMPIONSHIP GAME AS QB BURROW & COMPANY FINISH OFF AN EPIC 15-AND-OH CAMPAIGN ...
NFL CHAMPIONSHP GAME SUNDAY NEWS & NOTES & CHARTS ...
COLLEGE HOOPS TALK
Like we said ... TOO MANY WEAPONS! The LSU Tigers - the latest and (maybe) greatest college football champion - made sure they got their message across to the kids from Clemson:
It wasn't personal, guys, just business.
And, boy, did LSU take care of business on Monday Night inside the Louisiana Superdome with a resounding 42-25 win /cover as 4.5-point betting favorites over Clemson in this year's National Championship Game:
The Bayou Bengals didn't look great for most of the first quarter-plus but once this machine got rollin' it was a real show.
Yes, Heisman Trophy-winning QB Joe Burrow threw five touchdown passes and ran for another score while shaking off some hand / body injuries and he was peeved a few times for a variety of reasons but once this SEC club "figured out" what Clemson was doing on defense, well, it became your typical New Orleans party for the purple and gold ... it was both loud and colorful.
In all, LSU's offense registered an eye-popping 628 yards and six total touchdowns - keep in mind Clemson had held 11 previous foes this year to 14 points or less - and we had seen the following: Burrow threw for 463 yards without a single INT, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire had accounted for 164 scrimmage yards (110 of 'em rushing) while showing major toughness, WR Ja'Marr Chase (9 receptions for 221 yards and two scores), fellow WR Justin Jefferson (9 catches for 106 yards) and the combo of WR Terrace Marshall / TE Thaddeus Moss (a combined 8 catches for 82 yards and 3 TDs) had humbled a Dabo Swinney-coached squad that finally lost after 29 consecutive SU (straight-up) victories.
It's true that Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence (18-of-37 passing for 234 yards with no TDs) missed mostly high and sometimes wide on several attempts and the ACC guys looked gassed on defense once we got a little deeper into the second half of play but know this: With Clemson up 17-7 and Ed Orgeron's Tigers looking highly vulnerable, the LSU crew never blinked an eye and went from down 10 points to up 11 points (see 28-17) by halftime plus LSU shook off an early second-half answer by the 4.5-point underdogs to boot.
"We Are the Champions" - yes, that's the Queen song being heard in / around Baton Rouge and all over the great state of Louisiana today. Play it loud!
Here's a look at how LSU went 15-0 SU - and also 10-4-1 ATS (against the spread) in this just-completed 2019 season. Note all HOME TEAMS are in CAPS below:
|8-31||LSU||- 27||Georgia Southern||55-3|
|9-14||LSU||- 52||Northwestern St.||65-14|
|10-5||LSU||- 27||Utah State||42-6|
|10-19||Lsu||- 19.5||MISS STATE||36-13|
|11-16||Lsu||- 21.5||OLE MISS||58-37|
|11-30||LSU||- 17||Texas A&M||50-7|
|12-7 #||Lsu||- 7||Georgia||37-10|
|1-13 +||Lsu||- 4.5||Clemson||42-25|
# at Atlanta
^ at Atlanta
+ at New Orleans
Spread Notes - As you can see, LSU finished up an uber-profitable 10-4-1 ATS this season (a juicy .714 winning rate) with the Tigers going 9-4-1 vig-wise as betting favorites and 1-0 spreadwise as an underdog at 'Bama. Break it down a bit further and you'll see LSU was just 3-3-1 against the odds at home but 7-1 ATS away including that late-year trifecta against Georgia / Oklahoma / Clemson ... only three of the very best teams in the country this year! Finally, add 'em all up and since the above-mentioned Orgeron took command of this program some five games into the 2016 season, LSU is a delicious 31-15-1 against the odds for a sizzling .674 winning rate.
Finally, let's "go out on a limb" and forecast what four teams will play in next year's College Football Playoffs:
We'll say it's Clemson over Texas, Auburn over Notre Dame in the semis with Auburn beating Clemson in the '20 championship game.
NFL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME SUNDAY
We're gonna have all week long to analyze / dissect / chew on all the goodies as it pertains to the AFC Championship Game between the Tennessee Titans at the Kansas City Chiefs and the NFC Championship Game between the Green Bay Packers at the San Francisco 49ers so, for now, let's get you the recent history in this playoff round from both conferences:
LAST 5 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES
(Home teams in CAPS below)
|2018||New England||+ 3||KANSAS CITY||37-31 (OT)|
|2016||NEW ENGLAND||- 5.5||Pittsburgh||36-17|
|2015||DENVER||+ 3||New England||20-18|
|2014||NEW ENGLAND||- 7||Indianapolis||45-7|
LAST 5 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES
(Home teams in CAPS below)
|2018||LA Rams||+ 3||NEW ORLEANS||26-23 (OT)|
|2016||ATLANTA||- 6||Green Bay||44-21|
|2014||SEATTLE||- 8.5||Green Bay||28-22 (OT)|
COLLEGE HOOPS TALK
Let's get you up to snuff with some of the best bets in this 2019-20 College Basketball Season as we check in on the teams between A-thru-M in the alphabet (note all figures below are against the spread). In the next Jim Sez, we'll bring you the hottest spread sides N-thru-Z:
Alabama is 12-3
Butler is 11-4
Fairfield is 11-4
Georgia State is 11-4-1
Hofstra is 12-5
Iowa is 11-5
LaSalle is 11-5
NOTE: More NFL Championship Game goodies in the next edition of Jim Sez.