Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 1:13 PM
THE NFL WEEK 11 UPDATE: TAKING A DEEP DIVE INTO THE CURRENT CHASE FOR PLAYOFF BERTHS FOR A COUPLE OF TEAMS ...
COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S WEEKEND NOTEBOOK: TUA'S INJURY, A SOONERS' COMEBACK & MORE
Okay, so go ahead and tell us: Are you a glass-half-full or a glass-half-empty type of person when it comes to the NFL and its teams with post-season hopes?
For example, how do you see the Chicago Bears - a 17-7 loser at the 5-point favorite Los Angeles Rams last night - these days after dropping to 4-6 SU (straight-up) overall with that latest prime-time flopperoo ... feel better about their post-season dreams after that late-game switch from oft-ineffective QB Mitchell Trubisky to veteran journeyman Chase Daniel? Geez, how can you feel good about either one of those slugs leading your team, right?
Okay, so we're probably on the glass-half-empty side of the room with Da Bears. We remind you that Chicago's a crummy 3-7 ATS (against the spread) this year. Not sure if this Trubisky-to-the-bench move will be permanent but we can hear the glass-half-full folks pointing out that the Bears' next three games are as follows: Home to the sad-sack New York Giants, at the injury-riddled Detroit Lions and then home to the Dallas Cowboys. Win 'em all and the Bears would be 7-6 and definitely part of the discussion when it comes to the NFC Wild Cards. So, you say there's a chance ... hey, count us out when it comes to these poorly-coached Monsters of the Midway.
Let's take one other team and its quest for the post-season:
The Buffalo Bills - fresh off Sunday's 37-20 win /cover over the 7-point home underdog Miami Dolphins - barreled their way to a 7-3 SU start with that divisional win in the AFC East and if the season ended today the Bills would be the #5 seed overall (the first wild card in the conference).
Gotta be glass-half-full with a club that's now a heady 6-3-1 ATS and is rated a 59 percent chance to make the post-season. But let's hear the counterpoint view from the glass-half-empty folks: The Bills have copped wins so far against the likes of the New York Jets, NY Giants, Cincinnati Bengals, Washington Redskins and the aforementioned Dolphins (twice) while the upcoming sked features road games in Dallas, Pittsburgh and New England. Pin us down at this moment and we say the Bills will get into the playoffs with 10 wins. Book it!
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be banging out plenty of winners all this week: There's gridiron goodies every day as NFL Week 11 rolls on tonight with the Kansas City Chiefs battling the Los Angeles Chargers in Mexico City plus there's College Football winners too beginning with Tuesday night's Mid-American Conference doubleheader and there's plenty of NBA and College Basketball too. Call us at 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online and just pile up the profits.
On Monday Night Football, it's ...
KANSAS CITY (6-4) vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (4-6) - at Mexico City / 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Things didn't quite work out last year when the Chiefs-Rams game in Mex City was scratched because of poor field conditions but this MNF tilt has been "green-lighted" and NFL folks are keeping fingers crossed that Azteca Stadium's in good shape ... we'll see. The Chiefs - losers of four of their last six games - report QB Patrick Mahomes (2,626 yards passing with 18 TDs and 1 INT) is close to 100 percent after recent knee / ankle problems and now all he has to do is steer clear of ace pass rushers Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram (a combined 13 sacks). On the flip side, revived Chargers' RB Melvin Gordon - off last week's season-high 108-yard rushing game against Oakland - looks to tear into a KayCee rush defense that ranks a lowly 30th in the league (148.1 yards per game allowed).
Spread Notes - Kansas City is a dead-even but vig-losing 5-5 against the odds this year but did you know the Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in head-to-head duels with the Chargers since their second meeting back in 2013; Note the Bolts are 3-6-1 spreadwise this season but they're 10-3-1 as point-grabbers since midway of the 2017 campaign.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S WEEKEND NOTEBOOK
Stay with us here 'cause we're gonna ramble our way through a few different key topics from this past weekend ...
We get it all started with the fact that College Football Betting Favorites rock-n-rolled their way to a spiffy 32-19-0 ATS mark this past weekend (that's a .627 winning rate) and so - for the year - College Favs are now 307-277-14 with 3 Pick 'Em games tossed into the mix (that's an overall winning percentage of .526).
The weekend's biggest outright upset dog winner? Well, that would actually be a tie because 14-point underdog West Virginia stunned Kansas State 24-20 in L'il Manhattan while 14-point pup Rice toppled Middle Tennessee State 31-28 ... so there!
In terms of on-the-field action, yes, we know everyone is taking their shots at Alabama head coach Nick Saban for allowing QB Tua Tagovailoa to still be in the game late in the first half when the Crimson Tide sported a 35-7 lead en route to a rocking-chair 38-7 win / cover at 19.5-point dog Miss State. As everyone now knows, Tagovailoa suffered a dislocated right hip while running the team's two-minute offense and he's out for the year after a gruesome two-man tackle but the veteran signal-caller wanted back in at that point (you could see it on the sideline when he encouraged Saban to play 'em for one more series) and so we won't bury the 'Bama boss ...
Meanwhile, we might want to "bury" Baylor boss Matt Rhule whose club blew a 28-3 second-quarter lead to lose 34-31. If you happened to have Baylor plus the 10.5-point price against Oklahoma, then you never sweated it. If you happened to have Baylor at the "money line" price of + 300 you're probably still feeling sick to your stomach. Funny thing is Baylor might get another shot at the Boomer Sooners in the Big 12 Championship Game next month that pits the league's first- and second-place teams against one another and right now both teams are sitting there at 6-1 in the standings. First and second place.
Two other quickie notes from the weekend:
Michigan's dominant 44-10 home win / cover against 13.5-point dog Michigan State gave the Wolverines a fourth consecutive pointspread win this year. P.S., Jim Harbaugh's team has never enjoyed a five-game ATS winning streak in his four-plus years in Ann Arbor;
And, finally, if you're looking for head coaches "on the hot seat" that lost games this past weekend that could come back to cost 'em their jobs then consider Duke's David Cutcliffe (an inexplicable 49-6 loser at home to 9.5-point dog Syracuse) and South Carolina's Will Muschamp (a 30-6 loser at 10.5-point fav Texas A&M). If you wish to think of potential replacements at these two schools, then we're sure you'll hear the names Mike Norvell (Memphis) and Bill Clark (UAB). Just sayin'.
NOTE: Get our MNF recap between the Chiefs and Chargers plus lots more in the next edition of Jim Sez.