Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, July 6, 2017 at 2:55 PM
Not all handicappers/bettors look so deeply into overall available information that they process the monetary breeding value of their runners, especially younger or lightly run horses, by looking at stud fees.
However, a number of more astute handicappers do. For those of you who might glance at the stud fees of the various sires and indiscriminately weigh the value of that horse by the sire, the following can serve as a bit of an eye-opener and in general give you the idea that not all sire success is relative to the stud fee.
Generally speaking, second year crop sires, with the exception of a stand-alone multiple grade I stakes winner (especially the Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, etc.) are still reasonably priced. It often takes a few years of on track results for stud fees to rise.
This in itself is reason enough to be careful when weighing new-to-the-stud game sires vs those that have long established themselves.
With that in mind let's take a look at the TOP 10 Second Crop Sires and their results to this point based on last year's first crop and the few juveniles or sophomores from this year.
Fast and Accurate
The list above includes, to the right of the stud fee and breeding outfit, the number of individual starters, the number of individual winners, the number of individual graded or group stakes winners and the total number of graded or group stakes wins.
Tops on the list is Bodemeister, who established himself as much by his gritty second place finishes in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness as he did by his Arkansas Derby win and later exploits. On top of that, as a denizen of high end Winstar Farms, LLC, his fee is private
Of course Bodemeister (the sire of this year's Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming) has become by now a well-known commodity and many of his off-spring have drawn solid yearling purchase prices. However, next in line is McLean's Music.
The sire of Preakness Stakes winner Cloud Computing (one of 5 graded stakes winners he has fathered) stands for $8,500. And when it comes to comparing McLean's Music's on track history to that of Bodemeister, well, there isn't any.
What is unique about McLean's Music, a well bred son in his own right, by Distorted Humor (Forty Niner- Mr. Prospector) out of the Danzig mare Danzig's Beauty is the fact that he only raced once in his career. Yet in that win he registered the highest debut Beyer figure ever recorded.
Given his stud-duty performance to date there is a cogent argument that McLean's Music has significantly outperformed his stud fee. This also suggests that one should look to the actual purchase prices for his progeny if that is one of the factors in one's handicapping method. But as you do, it should be forewarned that a lower purchase price should not be an automatic disqualifier.
Going down the Second Crop Sire list above one will recognize some of the names and the bargain prices. Sires such as Shackleford, Dialed In, Stay Thirsty and Algorithms. They might not yet be at the level of Tapit, Ghost Zapper, Curlin, Bernardini and others but they are sires who have as of yet not made top The closing point being, that in no way should dissuade you from paying close attention to their progeny.
NOTE: Speaking of young sires and their emerging progeny, there will be plenty on display during the upcoming 2017 Saratoga Meet...Friday, July 21 through Labor Day.