Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, January 7, 2014 at 12:00 AM
HORSES TO WATCH
Week Ending Sunday, January 5
The horses listed below ran well enough in their most recent races to indicate that they are sitting on solid future performances. Bet them under the terms listed at least twice or until they win and then drop.
NOTE: Horses To Watch has now expanded and will cover the winter’s meets on the Inner Dirt Track at Aqueduct, the All-Weather surface at Turfway Park as well as Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay.
(Last Week’s Horses To Watch Runners)
TEEN PAULINE – WON $8.00 – Easily won the Affectionately Stakes in wire-to-wire fashion.
HOT STONES – WON $7.50 – Had to wait 5 weeks, but the ultra consistent NYSB filly followed up a second level allowance peer victory with convincing tally vs open entry level allowance rivals.
JITNEY – 2nd - PLACE $4.50 – Got a good enough trip that she should have beaten second level NYSB allowance foes but flattened out in lane. It was her second try on list and came following a short freshening. Could be going in wrong direction. Drop...
QUAY – WON $12.20 – This time her sharp rally was unabated and she got it done vs entry level allowance/optional turf claimers.
RAZZO SUCCO – Third – The claiming starter was floated very wide in 7 furlong test in last and still kept coming to be beaten just two necks. Deserves another chance.
REWARDBYBLITZING – Out – Faltered as the favorite after dueling early in 5K claiming starter. She has been too consistent, however, to not give her a second chance.
EXULTANT – Out – Stepped up to second level allowance/optional 40K claimer following a 20K claim out of a first level allowance/optional claimer two back and was a non-involved fourth. Still eligible for first allowance level so should be played a second time…but only on the drop back to those rivals..
YOU’RE MY BUDDY – 2nd – PLACE $7.00 – Got caught wide and tried to loop field before settling for the place. This was second try while on the list and is usually cause for being dropped. But deserves another chance after compromised trip.
EVERYOTHERDAYHERO – WON $14.20 – Tipped it off two back with compromised 4-wide-trip rally to get the place vs same at 13-1. Finished the job with clean trip rally vs same 8K rivals.
LIL ESCAPE ARTIST – 2ND – PLACE $4.40 – The claiming mare ran above suggested conditions going sprint to route, dirt to turf and up two classes. Still managed a win before being DQ’d and placed second. Bet her back on either turf or dirt at 12.5K to 16K level.
(Horses To Watch)
BELLAMY - The son of Bellamy Road stepped up from a 12.5K claiming win two back and showed well vs 25K rivals as he finished second behind drop down favored winner Be Bullish in last. He has a fondness for the IDT and validated his good form by nosing out a pair of rivals in the race. Can beat this kind and is still eligible for second level NYSB allowance conditions. Follow closely.
GRAND RAPPORT – The lightly arced 7-year old gelding was beaten a head in first start since early October in two-turn 12.5K claimer in last. Now 14-4-2-4 in his career and he probably has enough left to win a few this winter. Bet him back vs the same or slightly better.
HANDY STAN – The NYSB MSW gelding showed solid contending speed in second career start last out and got the lead in deep stretch before succumbing late. He also showed speed and was beaten just a neck in his debut. Breaks through next time.
HOT STONES – Goes right back on the HTW list after winning an entry level allowance race vs open company after moving successfully through NYSB conditions. Now has sharp 7-4-2-1 career slate. Steps up and gets 5th lifetime victory soon.
MR. PALMER – The Bill Mott trained gelding was three wide on both turns in second level allowance/optional 50K claimer in most recent and was beaten just a nose. Now 3-1-2-0 on the IDT and passes this level next time.
READ THE PROPOSAL – NYSB colt regained his best form in most recent following a 10 week break and missed by a neck in 35K claiming sprint. He was haltered out of the race by sharp conditioner Jacobson and won’t take long winning right back.
SIDEARM – The now 3-year-old colt broke slowly from the rail and off the pace in entry level allowance/optional 75K claiming sprint in last and moved up wile wide at the quarter pole. Got caught in traffic at that point but was only beaten a half length for it all. Eclipses the level soon.
THREE FOR ME – The now 3-year old NYSB Frost Giant colt was all business as he easily dispatched 7 MSW rivals in his debut last time out. The Dom Galluscio trained pursued 3 wide, moved when asked at the 5/16ths pole and drew off vs the even money favorite. Should go through restricted conditions quickly.
VONA – Bill Mott trained filly showed improved speed in MSW sprint in career start number two in last. She made the pace to inside the furlong marker before giving way to the favored winner. Graduates next time.
YOUR TIME IS UP – The Richard Violette trained daughter of Freud made it two straight with dominating 9 ¾ length victory over entry level NYSB allowance foes after beating open 35K claimers in her prior. Should make it three straight vs restricted second level allowance rivals in next.
COOL FAITH – The 3-year old Pulpit filly never had a chance in the grassy 100K Ginger Brew Stakes in most recent. It was just her third career start and first since Oct. 20 following a debut win and second in restricted Canadian bred stakes at Woodbine. In the Ginger Brew she was steadied going into the first turn, raced far back on the backstretch and steadied again when looking for position entering the stretch. Showed good tactical speed north of the border and is still eligible for the first allowance condition. Stay with her.
DAUPHINE RUSSE – Was between rivals and caught 5 wide in 200K grassy Pebbles Stakes at Belmont last October in NA debut. In most recent she was stuck and then steadied behind rivals in 7 ½ furlong turf entry level allowance/optional claimer won by HTW runner Quay. She rallied for third when finally clear and breaks through next time.
DO NOT ENTER – The 3-year old colt did well to place in his debut in last. He was off the pace in the 6 furlong MSW test after being bumped hard at the break. Moved 4 wide into the stretch and came up a length short. Won’t be a maiden long.
GAMBLER’S GHOST – Newly turned 3-year old raced greenly as the 2-1 favorite in his debut 11/16 at CD. In his last the son of Ghostzapper went right to the lead in the 6 furlong MSW test and continued to open his margin on the way to a 5 length tally. Moves through conditions rapidly.
GHOST TO GHOST – After rallying too late in a series of two turn MSW turf tests the Michael maker trainee dropped a notch to 75 maiden claimers and made a quicker than usual move to get to the lead inside the furlong marker before getting passed late and settling for a clear second. Looks to be figuring it out. Graduates soon.
GRAND JETSETTER – The lightly raced claiming sprinter just missed making it 3-for-3 at GP when he settled for the place vs 20K claiming rivals in last. The 5-year old was bumped at the start, dug in to take the lead and gave way grudgingly. Beats the same soon.
PARTY NOW – The Shug McGaughey trained daughter of Tiznow dominated her MSW turf rivals in career start number two in most recent. After a good second in her debut in 7 furlong synthetic try at Keeneland the filly took a 10 week break and in return went wire-to-wire for the victory. Looks like a good one.
POLITICAL COURAGE – The 5-year old turf gelding is as consistent as they come. In his last he slit rivals twice in mile 25K starter allowance and got the show, beaten just a length for it all. Now 7-3-0-2 on the GP lawn and 18-5-1-5 overall on grass he should get another victory soon vs the same.
STORMY RUSH – The Stormy Atlantic gelding was sharp in return to the races with clear second in 5 furlong turf sprint vs second level allowance/optional 62.5K claimers. He has good back class and is probably better suited to 7 ½ to 8 furlongs. Wins soon…follow closely.
WILD ORATION – The Laurel shipper gave the 2-5 winner everything she wanted in 10K starter sprint in last, dropping a neck decision in the 6 furlong sprint while 5 ¾ lengths clear of the show horse. It’s her turn next time.
BIG ROYAL DEAL – Checked in second for third straight time vs bottom level (5K) claimers in last but showed good enough speed in tracking the 1-2 odds-on winner at 6 ½ furlongs to indicate his third career win comes soon.
DR. HAL – The late-to-the-races 4-year old MSW gelding made just his second career start and first since last May when beaten a nose and a half length in 6 1.2 furlong test in last. Away a step slow he rushed up to take the lead and got caught late. Needed the race and breaks through next time.
FOLLOWTHEMONEYTRAIL – Hit the board for the sixth straight time (2-3-1) when he checked in second in 5K claiming starter at a mile in last. Was much the best, but forced to rally 6 wide and floated out even further in the final furlong. Just needs clean trip to bounce back vs the same next time.
GUNDERSON – Dominated second level allowance sprinters and made it 3-for-3 on a synthetic surface when he went wire-to-wire for 5 ½ length triumph in most recent. Good enough now to keep winning with increased rise in class. Stay with him.
IWASPAIDLATE – The veteran race mare continues to pay dividends at TP. In her last she pressed the early pace-setter, took the lead in the lane and drew clear in the NW2 time condition 6 ½ furlong 5K claimer. Now 6-3-1-0 lifetime at the track there is no reason to think she won’t keep winning at the 5K-8K level.
MRS. DARCY – The Helen Pitts trained mare stepped up into 7.5K open claimer in NW2L mile test following maiden breaker at 5K in prior. She broke out sharply at the start, chased early on, move 3 wide to get the lead and weakened late while 8 ¼ lengths clear of the show runner. Gets win number two soon.
POPULAR CAUSE – The veteran claiming gelding made his first start since early September at Beulah and first for 25% conditioner Bergio Baez. The son of Orientate settled off the pace early in the 6furlong 5K test, circled 5 wide and got the place a length short of the winner. Has hit the board in 5 of last 6 and wins one of these soon.
SARAYU – Second try over the track and second since November layoff resulted in dominant win over 5K conditioned time limit claimers. The veteran mare is in good form and should win right back sprinting vs open 5K-8K rivals.
SCHNELL FLITZEN – Better late than never. The 5-year old horse made his belated debut a winning one in last when he dug in gamely and held the lead throughout the 6 furlong 7.5K maiden test. His time was representative enough to indicate talent so he deserves backing vs 5K-8K NW2L lifetime claimers.
GALLOP GIRL – The Canterbury shipper needed her first start since June 15 but still finished a good second after making the pace until the final sixteenth in NW2L 8K claiming sprint. Has always flashed solid early speed, appears to like TB surface and should get career win number two with slight move forward.
I’M THE LUCKY ONE – Following his grassy MSW win two back the 3-year old Value Plus colt pressed the early pace vs entry level allowance/optional 75K claimers in 8 ½ furlong turf test and did well to hold the show. He has now hit the board in all 5 career starts (all on grass) so has the credentials to get win number two soon.
ONE BUCK ROMA – The 4-year old sprinter showed he hasn’t lost a step as he made his first start since August at Presque Isle and first on traditional dirt an easy triumph over NW3L rivals. Now 5-3-2-0 in his career he looked dominant enough to make his next step up another winning one.
PAIGE ME – The 6-year old 16K claiming gelding made his second start following an 18 week layoff and went dirt to turf in last. He turned in a sharp effort at 22-1 to get the place in the mile test. He most likely needed the distance test as well seeing that most of his previous tries were synthetic sprints. Might have found a new game that he’ll be good at. Follow closely.
YOU’RE MY BUDDY – See Last Week’s Horses To Watch Runners above.