Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, June 11, 2014 at 12:00 AM
HORSES TO WATCH
From June 1-June 8.
The horses listed below ran well enough in their most recent races to indicate that they are sitting on solid future performances. Bet them under the terms listed at least twice or until they win and then drop.
Note: The Churchill Downs Meet comes to an end on 6/29 at which point the circuit switches to Ellis Park (7/4 – 9/2) after which the horses return to Churchill.
(Last Week’s Horses To Watch Runners)
ROCK FALL – WON $3.10 – Couldn’t have been any easier first off the MSW win. Goes right back on the list…see below.
FROM THE POINT – 2ND – PLACE $14.40 – In first try on the list and first off the Chris Englehart claim the Posse gelding continued his development and deserves his second chance vs 12.5K – 16K rivals for trainer Sydney Dutrow whop took him from Englehart.
LADY KREESA – WON $3.30 – Never threatened as she broke her maiden in wire-to-wire fashion.
RAP D’ORO – WIN $9.40 - Wheeled right back at the same 20K claiming level by trainer Mike Hushion the 4-year old gelding was a game winner.
AFLEET MOSS – OUT – Had no excuse as she got to the lead in MSW test and weakened without much challenge…Drop Now
SUBPOENA – 2ND – PLACE $6.00 – The entry level allowance race mare was moved to second after the winner was DQ’d for massive stretch interference and she might have been bets. Definitely deserves another chance grassing at the level.
ROYAL SUSPICION – 2ND – PLACE $3.00 – Short field and slow pace compromised her chances in entry level allowance/optional 20K two turn claimer but she continued on for runner-up honors and beat the show horse by 9 ¼ lengths. Gets over the hurdle next time.
INDEFINABLE HUMOR – 2ND – PLACE $4.80 – The low level claiming colt jumped up two rungs following the Moya claim and did well to set all the pace and just fall short in the final strides of the 10K mile event. 7.5K claimers is the spot. Give him his second chance.
THIS WEEK’S HORSES TO WATCH
BELMONT PARK (5 Racing Days)
ANTRIM COLLEEN – In her first race since September the Kieran McLaughlin MSW filly rallied sharply for a just miss second vs MSW rivals. The 4-year old daughter of Giant’s Causeway tracked the pace 3 wide in the early going of the 10 furlong turf test, stayed in position until she moved out another lane into the stretch and moved to within a neck at the finish while clear of the show runner. Breaks her maiden in next if kept two turns on grass.
CHASING PARADISE – In her first start since last September, second of her career and first on turf the NYSB MSW daughter of Utopia turned in a strong runner-up effort in last. The Archibald Kingsley trainee wasn’t going to catch the in form 3-5 winner but broke sharply in third in the restricted mile and a sixteenth test, continued to progress through the lane and was well clear of the show runner at 11-1. You won’t get that price in two-turn turf test next time but you will get a winner.
CROWN THE KITTEN – The Wesley Ward trained juvenile fell short in his career debut when beaten by his stable mate in 5 furlong MSW turf test in most recent. The son of Kitten’s Joy chased the pace 3 wide. Moved 4 wide into the lane and chased the winner home while securing the place. He is bred t love turf or dirt and will get even better the further they run. Breaks maiden in next.
DOCTOR DEMPSEY – The late to the races NYSB 4-year old broke his maiden vs open special weights in his career debut at Santa Anita two back and returned to romp vs restricted first allowance level peers in most recent. The Bob Baffert trained son of Harlan’s Holiday could be any kind as he moves through conditions and is eligible for second level state breds and first level open company so bet him back as he makes up for lost time.
GHURAIR – Second try in the states proved the charm for this Elusive Quality colt in most recent. After making his first NA attempt and first since May of 2013 in the Grade III Fort Marcy on May 3 trainer Chad Brown gave him a bit of class relief vs second level allowance foes and the 4-year old was all business as he ran down his rivals in the lane in the 9 furlong grass test. He appears minor stakes worthy and will win again soon.
GIANT MO – A chance to regroup, return to the turf and slight drop in class was all this NYSB gelding need to get career win number one in last. The Dominick Schettino trainee showed some promise in his first two grass races but last raced in late December and a return to the grass and restricted 40K rivals was all the son of Frost Giant needed. He won clear from just off the pace in the mile and a sixteenth test and will get win number two soon.
GUGGENHEIM – No one was catching the 3-5 favorite in recent MSW sprint but this second time starter turned in an artful performance to get the place. The John Shirreffs trainee was making his first local start after shipping in following a non-show debut at Santa Anita in early April. The Smart Strike colt broke behind the wire-to-wire winner and chased that one all the way in the 6 furlong test and was 6 ¼ lengths clear of the show runner. Breaks maiden in next.
HORVATT CLAN – The mid-level turf claimer turned in a solid effort in last as he almost won the two-turn turf test in his first try since last August. The 5-year old Purim gelding settled just off the pace in the 9 furlong 25K event, took the lead in the lane and came up a bit short late while holding the place clear of the show horse. He was claimed by new conditioner David Cannizzo and will beat these or slightly better against the same or slightly better.
PARTLY MOCHA – The consistent turf gelding hit the board for the 9th time from 14 grass tries in most recent when he was a close up third in first try since last October. The George Weaver trainee broke in the air in the entry level allowance sprint, moved to the rail and was moved out 4 wide outside the quarter pole as he commenced a strong rally that finished less than a length short of it all. Gets career turf win number 5 in next…stay with him.
ROCK FALL – Goes right back to the list after winning for HTW followers. The Todd Pletcher trained son of Speightstown confirmed his dominant MSW win two back when he easily dispatched entry level allowance rivals in his most recent. The colt has shown daylight speed sprinting in each and has the breeding to lengthen out to a mile. The colt also has grass speed breeding as well so the conditioner has lots of options moving forward. Bet him back in next.
SAICHI SWEEPIN – It appears as though this mid-level claimer is cycling back to her good form if first since early March and first off the Bruce Levine claim last time out is any indication. The 5-year old race mare vied for control in the 6 furlong 20K event, put away one rival and dug in to miss by a head. She was haltered by new trainer Greg DiPrima and should pay instant dividends sprinting vs the same or slightly better.
CHURCHILL (4 Racing Days)
ARIADNA – The Helen Pitts trained filly did a good job to secure the show in most recent despite being parked wide the entire way. The 4 year old filly had topped NW2L rivals two back and travelling a mile and a sixteenth vs 30K claimers in the turf test in most recent she was kicked 3 wide on the first turn, remained out in the course on the far turn and was 4 wide into the lane but still missed it all by less than 2 lengths. Beats the same kind with clean trip next time.
BOLD SHOT – The 4-year old gelding hit the board for the 5th straight time when he rallied late for the place in 35-40K NW2L turf route. The son of Curlin trailed early in the 8 ½ furlong test, moved 4 wide on the far turn and continued to advance through the lane before flattening out a bit late and settling for runner-up honors. The Neal Howard trainee is improving and will beat this kind soon.
DUVAL – After breaking his maiden two races back the Steve Asmussen trainee just missed making it back-to-back tallies in his first try vs winners in most recent. The 3-year old Kodiak Kowboy colt was close up early in the entry level allowance 7 furlong event, shifted out on the turn and grabbed a brief lead in deep stretch before drifting out a bit and dropping a neck decision while holding on to the place spot. Gets his allowance win soon…especially of shortened to 6 or 6 ½ panels.
FINDING CANDY – The Chris Richard trained colt took to the surface in smashing fashion in last as he easily trounced his rivals in the second start for the conditioner. The son of Candy Ride was winless in 6 tries in the 20K – 25K claiming range on the Southwest circuit but was dominant in drawing off vs 25K 6 furlong sprinters in his first try over the surface. Richard is 23% overall so the change of barn also might have done it. In any case…bet him back vs the same or slightly better.
JUDY JUDY JUDY – The Ken McPeek trained 3-year old MSW filly looked the part as she made her first start in 7 weeks a winning one in last. Switched from the synthetic at Keeneland to traditional dirt the daughter of Dunkirk recovered quickly after stumbling at the start in the 6 furlong dash, circled the field and drew clear. Career win number two won’t be long in arriving.
MORNING BUZZ – Considering that trainer Ian Wilkes never has them fully cranked at first go (1% first time and 2% MSW debut) the second place finish by this juvenile colt in his debut last out was most promising. The son of Congrats chased the early pace in the 4 ½ furlong test, swung 4 wide into the lane and fell a half length short of the favored winner. Breaks his maiden in next.
SPORTSCASTER – Had shown plenty of promise in three prior MSW turf tries but finally put it all together in most recent. The Dale Romans trained daughter of Harlan’s Holiday tracked the early pace in the mile event. Moved out 3 wide on the turn, drew clear in mid-stretch and continued to hold her margin under steady handling. Now that she has figured out how to win she should get career win number two more quickly.
ZIP N RUN – The Randy Morse juvenile made his career debut vs special weights in last and turned in a solid effort despite being stuck on the rail throughout. The son of Run Away And Hide vied with the pace setter to his outside, battled with that one until gaining a short lead at the 3/16ths pole in the 5 furlong event before weakening late and settling for the show. Needed the race and just needs to get off the rail to break the maiden in next.
MONMOUTH (3 Racing Days)
BOSSY BELLE – After 4 tries to break her maiden as a juvenile this 3-year old filly was away since October but returned in good form to win her last. The daughter of Street Boss dropped from MSW to 40K maiden claiming status and was never threatened as she stalked the leaders early in the 5 ½ furlong test, moved up on the bend and drew clear through the lane. Trainer Willard Thompson is having a good meet and should get her right back to the winner’s circle soon.
DISCREETLY ELUSIVE – After breaking her maiden in dominant form at GP two back (following three straight seconds in MSW company) this Todd Pletcher trained filly looks like she has finally figured it out. Off a break since the MSW win on 4/5 she returned in last and was much the best in 6 furlong entry level allowance sprint. Off the pace early she moved three wide on the turn and drew away through the lane. Still has an upside so follow her through conditions.
DR. GOLDFARB – The veteran turf gelding made just his second start since January when he checked in second in a 20K claimer in most recent. The Orientate gelding was away a step slowly in the mile and a sixteenth test, moved into contention on the backstretch moved between rivals on the far turn and continued to rally through the lane to secure the place. Claimed out of the race by good off the halter conditioner Patricia Farro his next vs these should get it done.
KING RACER – The 3-year old claimer dropped in vs NW3L 7.5K platers in last and easily broke free in the 5 ½ furlong dash. The son of Harlington lay just off the pace setter, struck the lead on the turn and widened at will. Now 3 for 11 lifetime the gelding was haltered by new conditioner Tin Shaw and should pay instant dividends even if taken up a notch on the claiming ladder. Play him back.
MYTHICAL MAN – Trainer Kathleen O’Connell got this son of Broken Vow back on the turf in most recent and the 4-year old almost stole the entry level allowance test. The colt was hustled to the lead in the mile and a sixteenth test, drew clear on the turn and dug in to give way grudgingly in the lane while holding off the 3-2 favorite for the place. Conquers the level soon.
PEG’S OLYMPIC ZOE – The Kathleen O’Connell trained maiden claiming filly was more than a match for 20K platers in last and easily dispatched the field of turf rivals. It was the fourth career start for the daughter of Sweet Reason and first since 1/5 at Calder. Despite being steadied early in the mile test she quickly drew into contention by the far turn, made her bid and drew off under urging. She stayed with O’Connell and appears good enough to repeat vs open mid-level claimers if kept on the grass.
SOUPER COLOSSAL – The juvenile War Front colt was most impressive in winning his career debut vs MSW rivals in last. The Eddie Plesa trained youngster vied for the lead on the outside in the 4 ½ furlong test and drew clear through the lane under intermittent urging. He’s bred to go longer and also to win on turf so there are lots of options. Bet him back as he moves through conditions.
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