Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, February 6, 2013 at 12:00 AM
Kentucky Derby Future Wager: Pletcher, Baffert have 11 of the 23 individual interests
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Todd Pletcher might not have the winner of the 139th Derby on May 4 at Churchill Downs, and Bob Baffert might not either. But between them, they have 11 of the 23 separately listed interests in Pool 1 of the 2013 Kentucky Derby Future Wager, a development that seems to bode well for both.
Seven horses made the Pool 1 cut for Pletcher, whose lone Derby score came in the 2010 running with Super Saver, while four made it for Baffert, the three-time winner whose last triumph came in 2002 with War Emblem. Wagering into the first of the traditional three pools opens Friday at noon Eastern and closes Sunday at 6 p.m.
While Churchill linemaker Mike Battaglia has listed the mutuel field, the 24th or “all others” option, as the 9-5 morning-line favorite, Pletcher has the top two separate interests on the line in Shanghai Bobby and Violence at 12-1 each. Four more horses follow at 15-1, including Overanalyze and Verrazano for Pletcher and Flashback for Baffert.
Baffert would have had a fifth interest in Power Broker, but the colt was taken off the tentative Pool 1 lineup Monday because of his light recent workout schedule. He was replaced by Capo Bastone.
Just one gelding, Vyjack, is among the 23 interests. There are no fillies.
Every year since Churchill began offering parimutuel futures in 1999, the field has closed as the favorite in Pool 1. A Pool 1 field horse has wound up winning the Derby in six of those 14 prior years, the latest being Animal Kingdom in 2011. The 2012 Derby winner, I’ll Have Another, was 29-1 in Pool 1 – and 19-1 on Derby Day. The Pool 1 exacta of I’ll Have Another over Bodemeister – a field member – paid $257.80 for $2.
The field usually is a low price for Pool 1, even lower than 2-1.
“No individual horse has really grabbed the attention of Derby fans, and while several lightly-raced horses have turned in impressive races, they are question marks in terms of experience,” Battaglia said in a release. “It will be fun to shop for attractive prices on individual horses, but most fans figure to find their way back to the mutuel field before the pool closes.”
On two previous occasions, a Pool 1 field horse has paid less than $6 by ultimately winning the Derby – when Smarty Jones won in 2004 ($5.60) and Mine That Bird in 2009 ($5.80). Battaglia reiterated the 2013 Derby looks as if it may lend itself to a possible scenario again, which is why he set the field at such a low morning line.
There are no Derby prep races this weekend.
Pool 2 is set for March 1-3, and Pool 3 for March 22-24. Once again a single Kentucky Oaks futures pool will be offered, to run concurrently with Derby Pool 2.
The futures are nonrefundable win and exacta wagers with $2 minimums, including $1 part-wheels or boxes. The takeout is 16 percent. As with any pari-mutuel wager, odds will change throughout the weekend, with final odds established at closing time.
Pool 1 handle last year was a record $631,304, with the three-pool aggregate handle coming in at $1,460,019, fourth-highest in history. The $1,665,990 record for aggregate handle was set in 2005.
The record payoff for a $2 future win wager remains $188 on Funny Cide in Pool 1 in 2003. The record $2 exacta payoff is from Pool 3 in 2011, with Animal Kingdom over Nehro paying $3,074.60.
Churchill tightened the schedule for futures pools from four days to three in 2010, citing a lack of substantial play on Thursdays.
All futures lineups are determined by John Asher of Churchill Downs, Ed DeRosa of Brisnet, and Brad Free and Mike Watchmaker of Daily Racing Form. The 139th Derby is set for May 4.
Real-time updates of win odds and exacta probables are available through a number of sources, including television monitors at tracks and wagering outlets and on kentuckyderby.com.
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1
with morning-line odds
1. Capo Bastone, 30-1
2. Code West, 50-1
3. Delhomme, 30-1
4. Den’s Legacy, 30-1
5. Dynamic Sky, 30-1
6. Falling Sky, 30-1
7. Flashback, 15-1
8. Frac Daddy, 50-1
9. Goldencents, 20-1
10. He’s Had Enough, 50-1
11. Itsmyluckyday, 15-1
12. Mylute, 30-1
13. Normandy Invasion, 20-1
14. Overanalyze, 15-1
15. Oxbow, 20-1
16. Revolutionary, 20-1
17. Shanghai Bobby, 12-1
18. Super Ninety Nine, 20-1
19. Uncaptured, 20-1
20. Verrazano, 15-1
21. Violence, 12-1
22. Vyjack, 20-1
23. Will Take Charge, 30-1
24. Field (all others), 9-5