National Race Masters Blog

Back to Blog Home…


Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, September 26, 2013 at 12:00 AM

WIN AND YOU’RE IN…BIGGEST DAY SATURDAY
How Did They Do After They Won?
Taking A Look Back At 2012 Qualifier

This Saturday, September 28 is by far the biggest Breeders’ Cup Qualifier Day of 2013.

With a grand total of 12 graded stakes races that day guaranteeing the winner a starting spot in their corresponding Breeders’ Cup race the term “all-in” couldn’t be more apropos.

There are 6 BC Qualifiers scheduled at Belmont, 5 at Santa Anita, which is of course the site again this year for the two day 15 race world championship (Friday, November 1 and Saturday, November 2) and the Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes at Newmarket.

Here is the schedule:

(Belmont Park)
Jockey Club Gold Cup – Classic
Beldame Invitational Stakes – Distaff
Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational – Turf
Flower Bowl Invitational – Filly & Mare Turf
Vosburgh Invitational Stakes – Sprint
Kelso Handicap – Dirt Mile

(Santa Anita Park)
Awesome Again Stakes – Classic
Zenyatta Stakes – Distaff
Rodeo Drive Stakes – Filly & Mare Turf
Front Runner Stakes – Juvenile
Chandelier Stakes – Juvenile Fillies

(Newmarket)
Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes – Juvenile Turf

All this week we will be updating these pages as we lead up to Saturday’s 12 Races.

On Tuesday we took a look at 5 of Saturday’s Preps. In today’s edition we’ll finish looking at our rundown with three more preps from Belmont and two from Santa Anita.  

Below we’ll take a look at how the winners of each of these qualifiers did last year when they ran in their respective Breeders’ Cup races, after which we’ll take a look at those horses that did not win yet still ran in the a cup race.

TURF PREP

Belmont Park – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational
Winner – Point Of Entry – 2nd in the Turf
Showed good tactical speed in pressing Treasure Beach and passing that one in the lane to win the Joe Hirsch as the 7-10 favorite. At Santa Anita he started further back than usual, was still in 8th at the quarter pole, though only 4 back and finished strong for the place, beaten by upset winner Little Mike who got better position earlier.
Second – Treasure Beach – Off The Board in Turf.
After making the pace and holding the place in the Joe Hirsch he stalked in good position to the top of the stretch in the BC Turf, was steadied slightly and weakened to finish 10th of 12.
Third – Kindergarden Kid – Off The Board In Turf
Broke dead last, moved up gradually but could not finish his late run and settled for 6th…beaten 4 ½ lengths.

Note: Little Mike, who won the BC Turf took the lead approaching the stretch and held off all challengers to win at 17-1 after showing speed for about a mile in the Joe Hirsch and then drifting out badly to be well up the track.

Conclusion: The 1-2 finishers of the BC Turf exited the Joe Hirsch while third place finisher St. Nicholas Abbey made his first start since winning the BC Turf at Churchill Downs back in 2011. Horses that last raced at Santa Anita finished 4th, 8th and 12th

SPRINT PREP

Belmont Park - Vosburgh Invitational Stakes
Winner – The Lumber Guy – 2nd in the Sprint
Ran just about the same race in the BC Sprint as he did in winning the Vosburgh. He reached a good tracking spot early on, approached the dueling Trinniberg and Sum Of The Parts, moved 4 wide and made progress on eventual wire-to-wire winner Trinniberg while well clear of the show horse.
Second – Caixa Eletronica – Did Not Run In The Sprint
Third – Poseidon’s Warrior – Set the pace from the rail in the Vosburgh before fading late but was hard used early from post 13 in the BC Sprint as he tried to get to the speed inside him and once he failed to, gave up the ghost and faded to last of 14.

Note: As is so often the case, the sprint has players from multiple last preps. Last year in order, the first seven finishers exited races at Parx, Belmont, Betfair, Keeneland, Belmont, Hollywood and Santa Anita. It is worth noting, however, that Lumber Guy (2nd) and Justin Philip (5th) in the BC Sprint exited the Vosburgh where as the “supposed home field advantage runners” Coil, Amazombie, Jimmy Creed and Capital Account, who finished 1 through 4th in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship in their final prep, finished 7th, 8th, 9th and 12th in the BC Sprint.

Conclusion: As we’ve already seen during the early evaluation of these preps, a final race over the same surface they eventually competed in for the Breeders’ Cup proved very little advantage.

DIRT MILE PREP

Belmont Park – Kelso Handicap
Winner – Jersey Town – 5th In the Dirt Mile
After pulling the upset at Belmont in the Kelso by tracking a fast pace he was once again under a firm hold early on in the BC Dirt Mile but when asked for his run after angling out at the top of the lane he had no answer.
Second – Shakleford – He showed good speed in the Kelso before failing to withstand Jersey Town. In the BC Dirt Mile he bobbled at the break, gained position while 5 wide and faded inside the furlong marker.
Third – Trickmeister – Did Not Run In BC Dirt Mile

Note: The winner of the BC Dirt Mile was 15-1 longshot Tapizar, who never had a chance in the Kelso. He finished dead last of six after getting bumped soundly at the start, moved outside to track the pace and then had to move back inside for position. In the Dirt Mile he broke sharply, moved up 4 wide into the first turn, battled the pace-setter while in second and drew clear in the lane. Also worth noting is that Rail Trip, who finished second in the BC Dirt Mile had exited the Awesome Again Stakes at 9 furlongs and after showing pressing speed to finish 4th, was well placed shortening up a furlong.

JUVENILE FILLIES

Santa Anita – Chandelier Stakes
Winner – Executive Privilege – 2nd In The Juvenile Fillies
After easily wiring her rivals in the Chandelier Stakes she settled just off the early pace set by Beholder in the BC Juvenile Fillies. She made a good move at the 3/16ths pole and continued eating into the winner’s margin but had to settle for the place well clear of third place finisher Dreaming Of Julia.
Second Scarlet Strike – Did Not Run In Juvenile Fillies.
Third – Miss Empire – Did Not Run In Juvenile Fillies.

Note: Beholder’s trainer Richard Mandella handled his filly beautifully leading up to the Juvenile Fillies. After she was nosed by Executive Privilege in the Grade I Del mar Debutante on September 1st he prepped her in an allowance race on 10/4 at Santa Anita in which she got her confidence back with an in hand 11 length blowout.

Conclusion: BC Juvenile Fillies was one of the few BC races in which the west coast runners prevailed over the east coast runners from Belmont, Dreaming Of Julia (3rd) and Kauai Katie (4th) and Keeneland runners Spring In The Air (5th) and Broken Spell (6th) who ran 1-2 in the Grade I Alcibiades on 10/5, were no match for the Left Coast Gals.

JUVENILE

Santa Anita – Front Runner Stakes
Winner – Power Broker – 5th In The Juvenile
In the Front Runner Power Broker showed good pressing speed against a moderate-at-best early pace from the outside, continued 3 wide, took the lead entering the stretch and drew clear by 6 ½ lengths. Over the same surface in the BC Juvenile the pace set by Title Contender, who went straight to the Juvenile from a MSW tally at SA on 9/29 and eventual winner Shanghai Bobby was much quicker and Power Broker tried to move up after a tardy start and got a wide trip and never entered contention.
Second – Know More – Did Not Run In Juvenile
Third – Capo Bastone – Rallied from last of 11 to get third in the Front Runner and rallied from last of 9 to get third in the Juvenile.

Note: Shanghai Bobby, who was sent off as the 6-5 favorite after wiring the Champagne Stakes at Belmont by 5 plus lengths 4 weeks earlier had to work a little harder to hold off the challenge of 19-1 He’s Had Enough who prepped 4 weeks earlier but finished 11th at Keeneland in the Grade I Dixiana Futurity after previously running 6th on the grass at Del Mar on closing day in the Oak Tree Juvenile Turf. Fortify, who ran third in the Champagne ran evenly for fourth in the juvenile.

Obviously there is a lot more to go on than just the final win and you’re in preps at Belmont and Santa Anita on these corresponding Saturdays, but it is clear that the races coming up in New York and Southern California this weekend figure to have considerable impact.

Join the discussion

Login

Forgot password

Register
Keep me logged in
Ok