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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, September 30, 2013 at 12:00 AM

HORSES TO WATCH

Week Ending Sunday, September 29

The horses listed below ran well enough in their most recent races to indicate that they are sitting on solid future performances. Bet them under the terms listed at least twice or until they win and then drop.

NOTE: The Kentucky racing scene shifts to Keeneland for a three week meet starting October 5 and then shifts back to Churchill on October 27.

BELMONT PARK

AMBITONESS – The veteran race mare had to get plenty out of her first start since January when she tried to close into a slow pace in 25K starter/optional claimer turf route in last. The Bob Hess trainee tracked 3 wide in the 8 ½ furlong test, moved out 4 wide into the lane and continued with some interest. She’s won 7 of 19 lifetime on grass and should grab another soon if kept vs the same.

ANTRIM COLEEN – The 3-year old MSW filly shipped in from PARX and turned in a solid effort, just missing the win. The Kiaran McLaughlin trainee was 3 wide in mid pack, continued out in the race track into the lane and grabbed a brief lead in the 9 furlong turf test before getting collared late while holding the place spot. Third off the layoff and career start number four is next. Stay with her.

ARCHER QUEEN – The Bruce Levine juvenile trained daughter of D’Wildcat made her second straight turf sprint to start her career and showed a bit of interest in the late going of the 6 furlong MSW test. After getting stuck between rivals in mid-pack for a bit early on she continued evenly. She seems to be asking for tow turns and if given the extra distance should prove a worthy price play.

DAISEYSGONNAMAKEIT – The 3-year old NYSB filly showed good speed from her outside post in 6 ½ furlong entry level allowance/14K claimer. It was the first start since April for the Steve Asmussen trainee and after cutting out a :45 2/5 half mile gave the lead to the even-money favorite and then dug in and settled for the show when caught in the final jump by the second choice. She is a solid 8-2-1-4 sprinting over a fast track and should get win number three soon if raced back under the same conditions.

INDUSTRIAL POLICY – Chad Brown sophomore filly has blossomed on turf. After breaking her maiden vs special weights two back the daughter of Harlan’s Holiday rallied smartly to miss by a neck to the 7-10 favorite (her stable mate) in an entry level allowance/optional 35K claimer. After getting steadied at the start and rallying 5 wide in the 9 furlong test she was 3 ½ clear of the show horse and much the best. Eclipses the level next time.

MR. STYLE – The David Jacobson claiming gelding turned in his third straight solid effort as he made all the pace before getting caught late in a one mile 15K claimer last time. After two straight wins sprinting the son of Bluegrass Cat dispatched his challengers at the top of the stretch before surrendering inside the sixteenth pole. It was his first try at the distance so should have more foundation in next and be very dangerous shortening u8p again vs the same or slightly better.

RAGLIN RIVER – The NYSB gelding was more than much the best when he settled for a 1 ½ lengths beaten third in a restricted 6 furlong turf sprint in last. The Joe Orseno trainee was stuck down on the rail down the backstretch, had to be grabbed so he wouldn’t run up on the rivals in front of him, stayed buried on the rail around the turn and deep into the stretch. He was pushed back from third to fifth inside the furlong marker after which he finally found a seam and made up 4 lengths in the blink of an eye. Just needs a clean trip to break his maiden on grass at 6 furlongs to a mile.

SO LONESOME – Tom Bush trained juvenile was getting to the more experienced winner late in most recent. The son of Awesome Again was making his first start vs winners in the NYSB entry level allowance race following a career debut MSW win, closing 5 ½ lengths in the final quarter mile despite going wide at the top of the lane and moving inside in the final stages. Gets to the winner’s circle next time and breeding suggests he’ll go further.

TOURIST – Bill Mott first time starters are not usually cranked up at first asking so this juvenile MSW colt’s third place finish vs the 7-10 favorite and 5-2 second choice was a solid effort. The son of Tiznow chased the favored pace setters, angled out 3 wide in the 7 furlong dash and while no match for those two was beaten just 3 ½ lengths in good time while 2 ½ lengths clear of the next finisher. Breaks his maiden soon.

WALK CLOSE – The juvenile daughter of Tapit sparkled in her debut, winning off late in the 7 furlong MSW test in her most recent. She was a bit eager early but quickly settled on the rail, came out when asked at the top of the stretch and took dead aim, finishing the final 3 furlongs in :35 3/5. The Christophe Clement trainee looks like a good one and should move through conditions rapidly.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

BELIEF SYSTEM – The Mike Maker trained gelding just missed catching the winner when his late rally fell a neck short. Claimed for 25K at the Spa two back the son of Read The Footnotes advanced 4 wide into the lane in the 6 ½ furlong 35K dash and was 3 ¾ lengths clear of the show horse in the non-winners of 3 challenge. The sprinter has shown better early speed in previous races so with a better start should win vs these next time.

BIG LUTE – The 3-year old Steve Hobby trainee made his first start since February at Oaklawn in last. The colt broke close to the pace, dispatched the pace setter in the stretch of the 7 furlong entry level allowance and came up short inside the sixteenth pole while 4 ¼ lengths in front of the show horse in the 8 horse field. Needed the race and clears the level soon.

BLOCKADE RUNNER – The 3-year old Defer colt showed improved speed in career start number two and settled for the show spot in the 6 ½ furlong 50K maiden claimer after setting the pace and repelling a trio of early challengers. The Mike Maker trainee had the lead to the furlong marker and with a repeat of the effort (especially at 6 furlongs) at Keeneland should find the winner’s circle.

CANARYINACOALMINE – The first time starter from the red hot Steve Margolis barn was no match for the wire-to-wire even money favorite in the juvenile MSW but the daughter of Birdstone showed plenty of promise as she tracked while 4 wide in the 5 furlong dash, moved up to a challenging position and continued on for the place. Should move forward in next so bet right back.

PERFECT PRAISE – The Dale Romans trained turf filly lost all chance vs entry level allowance rivals in last. The 3-year old daughter of Pleasantly Perfect settled off the pace early in the mile test but was forced 6 wide into the lane when never allowed to save ground from her outside post. She did show mild late interest and picked up some ground but had too much to do. Just needs a better trip and a bit more ground to eclipse the level.

PIRACICABA – Now in the barn of Ken McPeek the 4-year old Dansili filly was no match for the 3-2 favorite as she made her North American debut. The European shipper saved ground in the early going of the one mile second level allowance/optional 62.5K turf claimer, began her bid off the second turn and was bumped and steadied at the eighth pole. She lost position and finished fourth but was only beaten 2 ½ lengths for the pace spot she could have gotten. She needed the race and a good trip vs the same, especially with more ground for this confirmed long-distance runner gets her a stateside win soon.

PURPLE SKY – After finishing third in a Spa MSW race two back all the juvenile son of Awesome Again needed was extra ground. The Al Stall, Jr. trained colt started a bit sluggishly, settled towards the back of the field early in the mile test, willingly moved between rivals through the lane and got to the front in the final jumps. Will get second career win soon.

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